Giro d'Italia 2022 Preview: Route, favourites and predictions

The 2022 Giro d’Italia begins in Budapest, the Hungarian capital, on May 6th. Known for its absurdly steep mountains, the first Grand Tour of the season has seemingly been designed to create an enthralling GC battle over the full three weeks of racing, whilst also providing enticing opportunities for sprinters and time-triallists.

Read: 2022 Giro d'Italia Toughest Stages

The 2021 Giro d’Italia was dominated by Egan Bernal of the Ineos Grenadiers, who won two stages and the maglia rosa on his race debut. Bernal’s victory marked Ineos’ third victory at the Giro in the last four years, after Chris Froome and Tao Geoghegan Hart’s wins in 2018 and 2020 respectively.

Read: 2022 Giro d'Italia GC Contenders

Veteran Damiano Caruso had the best season of his career, highlighted by a runner-up placing in the GC at the Giro, while Simon Yates rounded out the podium for Team BikeExchange.

Route

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 1: Budapest > Visegrád, 195km

The Giro d’Italia 2022 departs from Budapest, where the GC contenders must be well equipped from the off. The Giro has started with a time trial in each of the previous four editions, giving the time trial specialists the opportunity to claim the inaugural maglia rosa. (Tom Dumoulin, Primož Roglič and Filippo Ganna are the riders who have worn pink after the first stage).

Although there is an early TT present this year, it occurs on stage two. Instead, the Giro begins with a 195km route between Budapest and Visegrád. After a mostly flat day which includes two intermediate sprints, the opener finishes with a 5km climb from downtown Visegrád to the Royal Palace, where the inaugural pink jersey will be handed out. The TT specialists still have the chance to wear pink early on, but they must stay within touching distance in stage one.

Read our full stage one preview

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 2: Budapest > Budapest, 9.2km (ITT)

The first stage is followed by a 9.2km time trial in Budapest. The course crosses the River Danube just over the halfway mark and concludes with a 1.3km ascent to Buda Square, which peaks at 14% in places. The TT specialists must manage the difficult finish on stage one if they want a chance at pink on stage one. Alternatively, they could choose to conserve their legs on day one in favour of going all in for the stage victory only here. After just two stages, the GC battle will start to take shape.

Read our full stage two preview

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 3: Kaposvár > Balatonfüred, 201km

The final stage in Hungary finishes in Balatonfüred, a small spa town located on the northern shore of Lake Balaton, providing the sprinters with their first major chance.

Read our full stage three preview

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 4: Avola > Etna, 172km

The riders return to Italy with a fiery stage four where they'll climb Mount Etna. The volcano has featured on the Giro route in three of the last four years, but is ascended from the south this time. The gradients are fairly steady throughout with no super steep sections. We won't know who will win the Giro after the 25.6km climb, but we could learn who isn't capable of challenging for pink.

Read our full stage four preview

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 5: Catania > Messina, 174km

Although the 19.5km Portella Mandrazzi climb features early on stage five, the sprinters will expect their chance at stage victory here.

Read our full stage five preview

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 6: Palmi > Scalea, 192km

A relatively flat stage six provides back-to-back opportunities for the pure sprinters. In the meanwhile, the GC riders must conserve their energy ahead of a daunting end to the opening week.

Read our full stage six preview

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 7: Diamante > Potenza, 196km

The 2022 Giro route offers up multiple chances to wreak havoc in the GC relatively early on, and that begins on stage seven from Diamante to Potenza. A mixture of steep and milder gradients are thrown into a stage which undulates constantly for almost 200km. The Monte Scuro (6.1km at 5.1%) and La Sellata (9.1km at 5.1%) are key points where the race could explode. Although not a mountain top finish, stage seven cannot be underestimated by those vying for pink.

Read our full stage seven preview

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 8: Napoli > Napoli, 153km

A hilly circuit around Naples defines stage eight. This could be a good chance for the breakaway as the sprinters will struggle, but it’s not difficult enough for the GC contenders to create sizeable gaps. Additionally, the stage sits in between two punishing mountainous days which could mean those contending for the overall will be taking it as easily as possible.

Read our full stage eight preview

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 9: Isernia > Blockhaus, 191km

The first week culminates in central Italy with Passo Lanciano and later, Blockhaus — the climb's name stems from the German language where it means, 'stone house'. The ascent averages a ferocious 8.5% over 13.7km. After stage seven, this is the second stage prior to the halfway point with more than 4,400 metres of climbing. Nairo Quintana moved into the pink jersey after winning here in 2017, with only five riders finishing within a minute of the Colombian victor.

Blockhaus will wrap up a particularly strenuous first week that cannot be underestimated by any GC riders. Those that enter slightly undercooked, perhaps with aspirations of reaching their physical peak in the third week, could be punished. One minute separated the top ten in 2021 after nine stages, but we think the field spread will be much greater at this point in 2022.

Read our full stage nine preview

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 10: Pescara > Jesi, 196km

Week two gets underway in Pescara, as the race heads northwards along the coast before stepping inland towards Jesi. The first half of the stage is entirely flat, but the second half is packed with hills, meaning the main group could be decimated by the finish.

Read our full stage ten preview

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 11: Santarcangelo di Romagna > Reggio Emilia, 203km

That is followed by a pancake flat stage between Santarcangelo di Romagna and Reggio Emilia. Two intermediate sprints occur in Imola and San Giovanni in Persiceto.

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 12: Parma > Genova, 204km

The organisers have assigned stage 12 a four-star stage difficulty. The medium mountains provide another good chance for the breakaway, particularly as the peak of Monte Becco which occurs with over 20km remaining. The Passo del Bocco descent begins after 97km, a place where Wouter Weylandt tragically lost his life at the Giro d’Italia in 2011. A long descent into Genova may deter any GC riders from attacking but, alternatively, the relatively easy days that flank the stage could encourage them.

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 13: Sanremo > Cuneo, 150km

Stage 13 is a transitional day which sets off from Sanremo. The Colle di Nava is navigated with over 100km left, and although it’s far from the finish, it could be used as a platform to drop the pure sprinters.

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 14: Santena > Torino, 147km

The following two stages offer genuine chances for the GC riders, firstly with stage 14 in Turin. An intriguing circuit profile could lead to early attacks — carnage could ensue if the race is taken on early. The Bric del Duca is essentially the popular Superga climb which concluded Milan - Torino in 2021. Primož Roglič defeated a plucky Adam Yates that day.

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 15: Rivarolo Canavese > Cogne, 178km

Week two concludes with three mountains, two of them first category efforts. Although the final ascent to Cogne is the longest of the day at 22.4km, the percentages ease as the climb progresses, with the final 3.2km averaging just 2.4%. Any damage must be done prior to this, as dropping other riders will be onerous at the shallow gradients found here.

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 16: Salò > Aprica, 202km

The final rest day will be very much required, particularly with stage 16 and almost 5,500 metres of elevation gain looming. The climbing begins with the first category Goletto di Cadino and Passo del Mortirolo, which peak at 1,938 and 1,854 metres of altitude respectively. They are followed before the short but steep Teglio climb, and the ascending concludes with the fearsomely steep Santa Cristina, which averages 8% over 13.5km. The final 6km take place almost entirely downhill en route to Aprica.

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 17: Ponte di Legno > Lavarone, 168km

The punishing GC days don’t relent on stage 17 with another 3,740 metres of climbing, although the majority is packed into the final third of the stage with the Passo del Vetriolo and Monte Rouvere. We could see major attacks in the battle for pink, particularly with limited mountain opportunities to follow and a flat stage in Treviso next, which will surely be decided in a mass sprint.

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 18: Borgo Valsugana > Treviso, 152km

Stage 18 may offer an informal rest day for the GC contenders, and one of the last chances for breakaway artists and sprinters to make their mark on the 2022 Giro.

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 19: Marano Lagunare > Santuario di Castelmonte, 177km

Stage 19 is intriguing: the road crosses into Slovenia with the Kolovrat mountain on the way to the Castelmonte sanctuary which has stood since the 15th Century. When considering what lies ahead on stage 20, the breakaway may have a good chance here.

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 20: Belluno > Marmolada (Passo Fedaia), 168km

D-Day. A final mountain stage and chance for the climbers to make their imprint on the 2022 Giro d’Italia. The stage is rightly assigned five-star difficulty by the organisers, and the 4,500 metres gained is made up of numerous iconic climbs, including the Passo San Pellegrino, the Passo Pordoi and Passo Fedaia.

Giro d'Italia 2022 - Stage 21: Verona > Verona, 17.4km (ITT)

Although the high mountains are finished, the GC battle still has one final twist to offer. The 2022 Giro d’Italia concludes in Verona with a 17.1km time-trial, where we'll finally learn for certain who will win the maglia rosa.

Contenders

Image credit: LUCA BETTINI/POOL/AFP via Getty Images

We know that reigning champion Egan Bernal will not be at the Giro to defend his crown; the Colombian is continuing his rehabilitation from a bad crash in the winter that left him requiring surgery and facing a long road to recovery. In his place for Ineos Grenadiers will be Richard Carapaz, the winner in 2019, and he will be supported by Richie Porte and Pavel Sivakov. 

Tom Dumoulin was the last winner of the Giro to return to defend his crown in the following year - he won in 2017, and finished second in 2018 - and the Dutchman returns to Italy in 2022 at the head of a strong Jumbo-Visma squad. 

Last year's third placed rider Simon Yates (BikeExchange-Jayco) will be back for another crack at the race and, with such little time-trialling, will find plenty to like about this year's route. Other fans of the climber friendly percorso include Hugh Carthy and Esteban Chaves on EF Education EasyPost, Romain Bardet (DSM), Guillaume Martin (Cofidis) and Mikel Landa (Bahrain Victorious). 

The cast will also include veteran Vincenzo Nibali, out to win a third Giro, and his in-form Astana teammate Miguel Ángel López. Then there's Alejandro Valverde (Movistar) in his final season; the 42-year-old is in fine fettle after the Ardennes Classics but will he go for GC or stage wins during his final loop around Italy? 

 

Cover image: Tim de Waele/Getty Images