What does it take to win Paris-Roubaix? The numbers behind Dylan van Baarle's victory

What does it take to win Paris-Roubaix? The numbers behind Dylan van Baarle's victory

We looked at Dylan van Baarle's Strava numbers to understand what kind of effort he produced on Sunday to win the Hell of the North


Ineos-Grenadiers' Dylan van Baarle won Paris-Roubaix in a convincing and powerful style. He capitalised on his team's hard work in the first part of the race and attacked multiple times in the crucial, closing stages. The final, decisive move from the Dutch rider came with 19 km to go, on the four-star cobble sector of Camphin-en-Pevèle.

But what did it take for Van Baarle to win Paris-Roubaix, from a physiological point of view?

Related: What cobbles do to the human body?

We can find the answer if we look at Van Baarle's own Strava activity for Sunday March 17th...

Photo: Zac Williams/SWpix.com

Van Baarle covered the 262.81 km between Compiègne and Roubaix in 5 hours, 52 minutes and 21 seconds at an average speed of 44.8 km/h (and a max of 75.8). That time is the fastest time in which a Paris-Roubaix has ever been won in the history of the race. It's fair to say, it was an extraordinary performance.

First and foremost, the weather was perfect for racing hard with temperatures ranging from 12-22°C with 50% humidity, according to Van Baarle's Garmin Edge 1030 Plus. The race report also highlights the easterly wind that broke the race apart early on. It is shown as 14.4 km/h, but we're sure that it must have been a bit more when Ineos put the hammer down.

Photo: Dylan van Baarle/Strava

Secondly, despite what we usually think (i.e. Flanders is hilly and Roubaix is flat), the overall vertical elevation of the Hell of the North is still a pretty hefty 1,495 metres – not at all a pan-flat cobbles bonanza.

Related: Paris-Roubaix 2022 Debrief

Van Baarle's average power for the entire race was 307 watts, with a peak power of 1126w, most likely when he attacked on the Camphin-en-Pevèle sector, or when he bridged across to the breakaway (he didn't have to sprint at the end, coming solo in to the velodrome). However, his normalised power (NP), which reflects the physiological stress of the various power surges during the effort, was 341W. 

Photo: Dylan van Baarle/Strava

Van Baarle didn't hide anything from his exploit and included his average heart rate (147 bpm, max 176) and his cadence (88rpm average with an astonishing 172 rpm maximum). 

Through a different numbers filter, Van Baarle used 6483 kJ of energy, or 7071 kcal on his way to Roubaix victory. That amount of calories would equal 14 Big Macs – an unhealthy but gratifying post-Roubaix recovery snack – if he wanted to hit a zero-calorie deficit after a long and strenuous day in France. These numbers give an idea of the sheer effort he had to endure to win what some call the most important Monument of the season.

Related: Paris-Roubaix 2022 in pictures

Finally, on Strava he even got a couple of KOMs along the way, these were: "is this cobble love part 2 (35:16 at 358W and 45.3 km/h", "Pavé de Vertain à Saint-Martin-sur-Écaillon (3:02 at 456 watts and 45 km/h)" and in Auchy-lez-Orchies à Bersée - secteur pavé (3:54 at 430W adn 41,2 km/h). We have a feeling that Van Baarle's cobblestone trophy might have meant a bit more to him than those Strava crowns, though.

Cover Photo: Zac Williams/SWpix.com

READ MORE

‘I didn’t want to race another Grand Tour or Classic’: How Asia became professional cycling’s alternative path

‘I didn’t want to race another Grand Tour or Classic’: How Asia became professional cycling’s alternative path

It's inevitable that the end of the road approaches for every professional cyclist racing in Europe. When that time comes, most retire - but now...

Read more
‘I had to dare to lose it all’ : Comebacks and crowning moments at the Giro d’Italia Women

‘I had to dare to lose it all’ : Comebacks and crowning moments at the Giro d’Italia Women

A fight down to the wire made the Giro d'Italia Women finale one of the season's most satisfying conclusions

Read more
Paul Seixas leads the Decathlon CMA CGM train on a tree-lined climb

Tour Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes 2026 preview: Paul Seixas's time to shine

With no Tadej Pogačar or Jonas Vingegaard on the startline, this year's race is all about the next big GC talent and his preparation for...

Read more
Strength in numbers: FDJ United-Suez powers Vollering to her long-awaited Giro moment

Strength in numbers: FDJ United-Suez powers Vollering to her long-awaited Giro moment

The Dutch star’s first Giro stage victory underlines her decision to renew her contract with Stephen Delcourt’s team for another two years. FDJ’s strength is...

Read more
Josh Kench was the Giro d'Italia's unlikeliest finisher: 'It’s been a rollercoaster'

Josh Kench was the Giro d'Italia's unlikeliest finisher: 'It’s been a rollercoaster'

Unwanted by any European team, New Zealander Josh Kench found himself racing in China for two seasons. Through a valuable connection he was given a...

Read more
'He has everything to be a Grand Tour winner': Lidl-Trek sound note of optimism over Juan Ayuso's return

'He has everything to be a Grand Tour winner': Lidl-Trek sound note of optimism over Juan Ayuso's return

Juan Ayuso will be one of the favourites when one-week stage racing returns at the Tour Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes. Beyond that he'll be targeting a Tour de...

Read more

READ RIDE REPEAT

JOIN ROULEUR TODAY

Get closer to the sport than ever before.

Enjoy a digital subscription to Rouleur for just £4 per month and get access to our award-winning magazines.

SUBSCRIBE